Green – Paranormal Activity

Climate Scientist responds to Sabine Hossenfelder on Climate Sensitivity

ClimateAdam — Fri, 02 Feb 2024 15:36:48 +0000

How hot will our planet actually get? Climate scientists try to answer this question by evaluating the “climate sensitivity”. And if you’ve watched the recent Sabine Hossenfelder, you may be left with the impression that climate change wasn’t much to worry about… but now it is. So I’m here to explain what the evidence is actually showing us, and why the situation is a little more nuanced than Sabine’s commentary may have suggested. And crucially I break down how climate scientists arrive at a number for the crucial “climate sensitivity”, to give us a sense for how much global warming we’re in for.

Support ClimateAdam on patreon: http://patreon.com/climateadam

Thanks so much for the input from:
Piers Forster https://twitter.com/piersforster
Kate Marvel https://twitter.com/drkatemarvel/
Zeke Hausfather https://twitter.com/hausfath

#ClimateChange #globalwarming

twitter: http://www.twitter.com/ClimateAdam
instagram: http://instagram.com/climate_adam

==MORE INFO==

Sabine video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4S9sDyooxf4
My video on landmark climate sensitivity paper: https://youtu.be/7tMAkhQCJ48?si=XxdpXJP2zOA3x4ko
Nature Comment on hot models: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-01192-2
Hot models too hot historically: https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/11/737/2020/esd-11-737-2020.html
… and for the last “ice age”
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2021MS002776
Explanation of climate sensitivity: https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-scientists-estimate-climate-sensitivity/
The epic study on climate sensitivity: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019RG000678
Weather forecast to validate model: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019MS001986
Associated comment piece: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01484-5
Why such forecasts tests should be carried out: https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.23
The James Hansen paper: https://academic.oup.com/oocc/article/3/1/kgad008/7335889
Critiques of it:
https://twitter.com/hausfath/status/1720098321161957761 (check the replies too)
https://michaelmann.net/content/comments-new-article-james-hansen
https://www.eenews.net/articles/james-hansen-is-back-with-another-dire-climate-warning/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/12/26/global-warming-accelerating-climate-change/
Do climate protests work: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/2378023120925949
IEA net zero roadmap: https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9a698da4-4002-4e53-8ef3-631d8971bf84/NetZeroRoadmap_AGlobalPathwaytoKeepthe1.5CGoalinReach-2023Update.pdf

==CREDITS==

Sabine photo from Sabine Hossenfelder
Ice core clip from The Conversation
Ocean visual and temperature projection from Nasa
Greek floods by Weather events

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5 Creepy Weather Phenomena That Shouldn't Be Allowed

SciShow — Sun, 10 Jun 2018 21:00:01 +0000

Weather isn’t all sunshine and rainbows—sometimes it’s rain, and sometimes that rain looks like blood.

Hosted by: Stefan Chin

Head to https://scishowfinds.com/ for hand selected artifacts of the universe!
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Support SciShow by becoming a patron on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/scishow
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Dooblydoo thanks go to the following Patreon supporters: Lazarus G, Sam Lutfi, Nicholas Smith, D.A. Noe, alexander wadsworth, سلطان الخليفي, Piya Shedden, KatieMarie Magnone, Scott Satovsky Jr, Charles Southerland, Bader AlGhamdi, James Harshaw, Patrick D. Ashmore, Candy, Tim Curwick, charles george, Saul, Mark Terrio-Cameron, Viraansh Bhanushali, Kevin Bealer, Philippe von Bergen, Chris Peters, Justin Lentz
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Sources:
https://smile.amazon.com/Rain-Natural-Cultural-Cynthia-Barnett/dp/0804137110/

http://channel.nationalgeographic.com/u/kdvOstqYf66KJEttixqDiXPtQVDOJlLUp7jXeRlpoz-gWX7fywwCJLYdnKN3ALDVxHbKRgEc1XZNcsyU/
https://www.sciencealert.com/scientists-think-they-ve-found-a-partial-explanation-for-the-blood-rain-in-spain
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10509-005-9025-4
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2006/mar/05/spaceexploration.theobserver
http://mic.microbiologyresearch.org/content/journal/micro/10.1099/mic.0.062711-0
https://www.omicsonline.org/open-access/european-species-of-subaerial-green-alga-trentepohlia-annulata-trentepohliales-ulvophyceae-caused-blood-rain-in-kerala-india-2329-9002-15-144.php?aid=40172

https://www.nature.com/articles/004161a0
https://books.google.com/books?id=wwCev0FTNlEC&pg=PA24&lpg=PA24#v=onepage&q&f=false
http://www.pcf.city.hiroshima.jp/outline/index.php?l=E&id=44
http://atomicbombmuseum.org/3_radioactivity.shtml
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/9492/9f0899772a6b96316eb0e391d23c1d1e2252.pdf [PDF]

https://www.weather.gov/oun/events-19350414
https://www.history.com/topics/dust-bowl/videos/black-blizzard
https://livinghistoryfarm.org/farminginthe30s/water_02.html
https://pmm.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/document_files/parsivel_Tokay_c3vp_agu.pdf
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/04/27/AR2007042702015.html

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-do-dust-devils-form/
https://www.livescience.com/47742-volcano-tornado-iceland-eruption-holuhraun.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzbIdE51jcg
http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2014/02/07/volcano_twisters_ash_devils_spawned_from_sinabung.html

Weird Weather – Super Frankenstein Freak Storm USA Underway

thornews — Mon, 23 May 2016 15:56:01 +0000

We’ve got a solid strip of storms in the middle of America stretching from Mexico to Canada. This is a multi day Weather event. And it’s weird.

Strange Days indeed.

God Bless everyone,

THORnews Tshirts! http://thornews.bigcartel.com/

@newTHOR on twitter

https://www.facebook.com/thornewsgo

https://weather.com/storms/severe/news/severe-weather-forecast-plains-late-may

A multi-day severe weather threat that is taking aim on parts of the Plains, Midwest and South this week is well underway. Large hail, damaging wind gusts and some tornadoes will be possible each day through late week. Clusters of thunderstorms could also cause some flash flooding.

There were multiple reports of tornadoes Sunday evening across Texas, Kansas and South Dakota.

A tornado touched down near Howardwick, Texas, and another tornado was spotted south of Interstate 20 near Big Springs, Texas. A large tornado near Waka, Texas, knocked down a quarter-mile row of power lines. In Kansas, a half-mile wide wedge tornado was reported near Lydia. No major damage has been reported in all of the areas mentioned above.

Hail the size of tennis balls (2.50 inches) led to broken car windows near Post, Texas, Sunday evening, and hail as large as teacups (3 inches) was spotted near Elbow, Texas. Farther north in Nebraska, hail coated the ground near Mullen, where severe thunderstorms left residents without power.

The rounds of thunderstorms throughout this week are being triggered by ripples of energy ejecting eastward from a southward dip in the jet stream across the West. That energy and its associated slow-moving frontal system is intercepting moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, allowing the thunderstorms to form.

Below is our latest forecast thinking on the timing and magnitude of this severe weather event throughout the next several days.

Severe Weather Forecast

Keep in mind that although our forecasts maps the next several days may show that a large area is at risk for severe weather, that not every single location will see damaging thunderstorms. Also, the magnitude of the severe weather threat and tornado potential may vary each day. Check back for updates.

Monday

Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from parts of Minnesota and western Wisconsin southward to Oklahoma and Texas.
Threats: Wind-damaging thunderstorms will be scattered over these areas. There also could be some spotty large hail and perhaps a few tornadoes. The greatest threat of tornadoes will be from western Kansas to western Oklahoma and west Texas.
Cities: Minneapolis | Omaha | Kansas City | Wichita | Okla. City | Dallas

Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from Iowa and Nebraska southward to parts of Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma and north Texas.
Threats: Large hail, damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes are all possible.
Cities: Des Moines | Topeka | Tulsa | Wichita Falls, Texas

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NWF NEWS: Extreme Weather : New UNEP Report

National Wildlife — Mon, 28 Sep 2009 20:53:22 +0000

http://www.nwf.org/climateaction – NWF Climate Scientist Dr. Amanda Staudt speaks on new report from the United National Environment Program (UNEP) highlights extreme weather events across the globe.

National Wildlife Federation works on protecting wildlife and wild places. To learn more go to http://bit.ly/1366fHf

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